For the macroeconomic stability, for the economic growth, you need decent relations with the West. And how does the conflict impact the world?Email your questions to James and Al at politicswarroom@gmail.com or tweet them to @politicon. One other example we might allude to is what happened in Afghanistan in 1979. They don't even have a Quisling yet. A historian envisions a settlement among Russia, Ukraine, and the West. We have here, the assumption that it could be a successful version of that, and it wasn't. The regime became more and more corrupt, less and less sophisticated, less and less trustworthy, less and less popular. Perhaps first and foremost, people already thought they knew who Stalin was. He taught at Princeton for more than 30 years, and is the author of nine works of history, including the first two volumes of his biography of Joseph Stalin, Paradoxes of Power, 1878 to 1928 and Waiting for Hitler, 1929 to 1941. Stephen Kotkin, a professor of history and international affairs at Princeton University, and a research scholar at the Hoover Institution, respectfully disagrees. The problem with their argument is that it assumes that had NATO not expanded, Russia wouldn't be exactly the same or very likely close to what it is today. Please support this podcast by checking out our sponsors:- Lambda: https://lambdalabs.com/lex- Scale: https://scale.com/lex- Athletic Greens: https://athleticgreens.com/lex and use code LEX to get 1 month of fish oil- ExpressVPN: https://expressvpn.com/lexpod and use code LexPod to get 3 months free- ROKA: https://roka.com/ and use code LEX to get 20% off your first orderEPISODE LINKS:Stephen's Website: https://history.princeton.edu/people/stephen-kotkinStalin: 1878-1928 (Vol 1): https://amzn.to/3NvokpCStalin: 1929-1941 (Vol 2): https://amzn.to/3wIYqsTPODCAST INFO:Podcast website: https://lexfridman.com/podcastApple Podcasts: https://apple.co/2lwqZIrSpotify: https://spoti.fi/2nEwCF8RSS: https://lexfridman.com/feed/podcast/Full episodes playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLrAXtmErZgOdP_8GztsuKi9nrraNbKKp4Clips playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLrAXtmErZgOeciFP3CBCIEElOJeitOr41OUTLINE:0:00 - Introduction2:19 - Putin and Stalin13:09 - Putin vs the West36:01 - Response to Oliver Stone47:07 - Russian invasion of Ukraine1:26:35 - Putin's plan for the war1:34:33 - Henry Kissinger1:40:28 - Nuclear war1:51:01 - Parallels to World War II2:13:47 - China2:21:55 - World War III2:29:24 - Navalny2:33:41 - Meaning of lifeSOCIAL:- Twitter: https://twitter.com/lexfridman- LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lexfridman- Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/lexfridman- Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/lexfridman- Medium: https://medium.com/@lexfridman- Reddit: https://reddit.com/r/lexfridman- Support on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/lexfridman Beginning with the reign of Ivan the Terrible in the 16th century, Russia managed to expand at an average rate of 50 square miles per day for hundreds of years, eventually covering one-sixth of the Earth's landmass.". With David. The more you corner, the more there's nothing to lose for Putin, the more he can raise the stakes. He's written two volumes so far on the life of Stalin with one more to come, as well as books on the Soviet Union in its last years. Perhaps first and foremost, people already thought they knew who Stalin was. He has been a journalist for more than 30 years, writing and broadcasting for some of the worlds most famous news organizations, including his tenure at The Financial Times, The Times of London, and The BBC. Stephen Kotkin: It's not clear that they do. Kotkin has published two volumes of a projected three-part biography of Stalin, and his works on the dissolution of the Soviet Union and its aftermath are without peer in their precision and. Some experts, including John Mearsheimer, have blamed NATO expansion for the invasion of Ukraine, arguing that it has provoked Vladimir Putin to defend his sphere of influence. 0:08 Visit our website terms of useat www.wnyc.org for further information. Professor Stephen Kotkin. It had suspicion of foreigners and the West. Kotkin describes how and why the Putin regime has evolved toward despotism, and he speculates that the strategic blunders in invading Ukraine likely resulted from the biases of authoritarian rulers like Putin, and the lack of good information available to them. David Remnick: Finally, you've been very quick to give credit where credit's due to the Biden administration for reading out its intelligence about the coming invasion, for sanctions, and for a mature response to what's happening. If you enjoy the podcast, please rate it 5 stars on Apple Podcasts, follow on Spotify, or support it on Patreon.This episode is presented by Cash App. For the military security part of the regime which is the dominant part, the West is your enemy, the West is trying to undermine you. Putin is what he is, he's ruling in Russia and he's got these circumstances, almost a syndrome where geopolitics is trying to make up for a power differential that it can't make up for. Each of these had a different focus; there . Stephen Kotkin: Oh, yes. It is committed to policy-relevant scholarship that addresses the most important strategic issues facing our nation today and . That's why Russia had this fortress, this macroeconomic fortress, these foreign currency reserves, the rainy day fund, reasonable inflation. The oppressors can say, "We don't need you. Find them wherever you listen to podcasts. Gerry Baker is Editor at Large of The Wall Street Journal. He has written many books on Stalin and the Soviet Union including the first 2 of a 3 volume work on Stalin, and he is currently working on volume 3.This conversation is part of the Artificial Intelligence podcast. He sits down with Isaac Chotiner to discuss Stalins differences from the autocrats of today, what Stalin and HitShow More, On this episode of Free Expression, Wall Street Journal Editor-at-Large Gerry Baker speaks with one of the worlds pre-eminent historians of Russia, Stephen Kotkin, about the autocratic ambitions behiShow More, When Professor Stephen Kotkin set out to write a biography of Stalin, he faced a series of challenges. If not him, who else? Of course, there's been tremendous change. Copyright 2023 Apple Inc. All rights reserved. 4) An appearance on Todd Lewis's Praise of Folly podcast. A whole civilization more than just a country. In trying to match the West or at least manage the differential between Russia and the West, they resort to coercion. The authoritative record of New York Public Radios programming is the audio record. War usually is a miscalculation it's based upon assumptions that don't pan out things that you believed to be true or wanted to be true but let's back up for a second. Moreover, think about all those Ukrainians who would continue to resist. Interested in exclusive Uncommon Knowledge content? Historian and author Stephen Kotkin of Princeton University and Stanford University's Hoover Institution talks with EconTalk host Russ Roberts about the historical significance of the life and work ofShow More, Stephen Kotkin is a historian and the author of Stalin: Waiting For Hitler, 1929-1941. The worlds view of Show More, Historian Stephen Kotkin joins Alphaville's Matt Klein to discuss how Joseph Stalin's violent commitment to Marxist-Leninism shaped Soviet society in the 1930s. The worst part of this dynamic in Russian history is the conflation of the Russian state with some personal ruler. Use of this site constitutes acceptance of our User Agreement and Privacy Policy and Cookie Statement and Your California Privacy Rights. It murdered the Afghan leadership, and it installed a puppet, Babrak Karmal. Stephen Kotkin, a professor of history and international affairs at Princeton University, and a research scholar at the Hoover Institution, respectfully disagrees. George Kennan was the greatest Russia expert who ever lived, but I just don't think blaming the West is the right analysis for where we are today. | AI Podcast Clips Lex Clips 834K. #289 Stephen Kotkin: Putin, Zelenskyy, and War in Ukraine. Stephen Kotkin is a historian specializing in Stalin and Soviet history. 3) An appearance on Stephen W. Carson's Radical Liberation podcast. Administrations that perform badly can learn and get better which is not the case in Russia and it's an advantage we can forget. The financial sanctions are very impressive but they'll take a while to affect the calculus of those people around Putin and Putin himself. Instead of getting the strong state that they want to manage the Gulf with the West, they instead get a personalist regime. They use a very heavy state-centric approach to try to beat the country forward and upwards. Sign up to receive our weekly newsletter of the best New Yorker podcasts. 2023 Cond Nast. The premise of this show is simple: Peter Robinson poses five questions to Dr. Kotkin: what Xi Jinping, the president of China believes; what Vladimir Putin believes; whether nuclear weapons are a deterrent in the 21st century; the chances of another American renewal; and Kotkins rational basis for loving the United States. Will Ukraine hold firm? They can't educate their people, but they only have to be good at one thing to survive, the suppression of alternatives. Which seems at least from this distance singularly stupid. Stephen Kotkin: Stalin, Putin, and the Nature of Power. Kotkin is the author of an authoritative biography of Joseph Stalin, two volumes of which have been published; a third is in the making. We strongly encourage, in these days of censorship and deplatforming, all readers to bookmark our main site (https://www.theworthyhouse.com). Stephen Kotkin, a professor of history and international affairs at Princeton University, and a research scholar at the Hoover Institution, respectfully disagrees. They're terrible at everything. Episode Links:Stalin (book, vol 1): https://amzn.to/2FjdLF2Stalin (book, vol 2): https://amzn.to/2tqyjc3Here's the outline of the episode. This conversation is part of the Artificial Intelligence podcast. "Putin's strategy could be defined as 'I can't have itnobody can have it.' And, sadly, that's where the tragedy is right now," Stephen Kotkin, a fel #289 - Stephen Kotkin: Putin, Zelenskyy, and War in Ukraine - 25 may 2022 It's certainly not the same as Xi Jinping or the regime in Iran. On this episode of Free Expression, Wall Street Journal Editor-at-Large Gerry Baker speaks with one of the worlds pre-eminent historians of Russia, Stephen Kotkin, about the autocratic ambitions behind Vladimir Putins invasion of Ukraine, how the west can do more to resist his aggression and how he has placed China at an inflection point in its rise to global superpower status. Putins aggression is not some kind of deviation from the historical pattern, he tells David Remnick. Articles by this author: Essay Spring 1983 Beyond Free Trade The Worthy House does not solicit donations or other support, or have ads. Historian and author Stephen Kotkin of Princeton University and Stanford University's Hoover Institution talks with EconTalk host Russ Roberts about the historical significance of the life and work of, Stephen Kotkin is a historian and the author of Stalin: Waiting For Hitler, 1929-1941. What we have today in Russia is not some deviation from a historical pattern. If you deny them over time through the Commerce Department, American-made software, and American-made equipment and products, you can hurt this regime and create a technology desert. Professor Stephen Kotkin. That's the thing about the United States in the West. Let's think about him. The problem with their argument is that it assumes that had NATO not expanded, Russia wouldn't be exactly the same or very likely close to what it is today. (00:00) - Introduction(10:17) - Putin and Stalin(21:07) - Putin vs the West(43:59) - Response to Oliver Stone(55:05) - Russian invasion of Ukraine(1:34:33) - Putin's plan for the war(1:42:32) - Henry Kissinger(1:48:26) - Nuclear war(1:59:00) - Parallels to World War II(2:21:45) - China(2:29:54) - World War III(2:37:23) - Navalny(2:41:40) - Meaning of life, All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg. First of all, Ukraine is winning this war only on Twitter. We need a de-escalation from the maximalists spiral. Since then, the world has changed in ways that were unimaginable just 3 weeks ago. Xi Jinping, Vladimir Putin, Nuclear Weapons and American Renewal. Kotkin is the author of an authoritative biography of Joseph Stalin, two volumes of which have been published; a third is in the making. It had repression. 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